Hobro vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LYN
2 - 1
HOB
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HOB
1 - 1
AKA
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BRØ
1 - 0
HOB
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VEJ
2 - 0
HOB
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HOB
1 - 1
VEN
60%
21%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FRE
5 - 1
VEN
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VFF
2 - 2
FRE
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 2
HBK
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FYN
1 - 3
FRE
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 1
VES
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |