Hobro vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FCK
3 - 1
HOB
69%
21%
11%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
ROS
0 - 0
HOB
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RAN
2 - 1
HOB
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
HOB
2 - 2
ESB
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FCK
1 - 0
HOB
70%
20%
11%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
AGF
3 - 0
FCN
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MID
2 - 0
AGF
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FCN
2 - 0
AGF
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
SIF
0 - 1
AGF
25%
22%
52%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
AGF
1 - 2
SON
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |