Hobro vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FYN
1 - 4
HOB
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HOB
2 - 1
NAE
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
KBK
0 - 1
HOB
35%
24%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
ABK
1 - 4
HOB
9%
16%
75%
|
55 | 9 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HOB
1 - 3
VEJ
44%
26%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
KOL
1 - 2
AGF
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
AGF
7 - 1
HVI
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
AGF
3 - 1
VES
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
ODD
0 - 1
AGF
11%
18%
71%
|
71 | 33 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
ROS
0 - 2
AGF
19%
25%
56%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |