Hobro vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
HOB
0 - 4
IKA
53%
22%
25%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
RAN
1 - 1
HOB
34%
24%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
HOB
7 - 1
HOL
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
0 - 5
HOB
27%
23%
50%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
HOB
5 - 3
AGF
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AAB
1 - 2
BIF
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
AAB
1 - 1
RAN
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
OBK
2 - 1
AAB
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
AAB
1 - 2
FCK
39%
27%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
THI
0 - 3
AAB
15%
20%
65%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | +1 |