Hobart Zebras vs South Hobart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
48.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobart Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 3
HOB
20%
19%
61%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
DEV
1 - 0
HOB
39%
21%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 6
HOB
6%
12%
83%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
HOB
4 - 1
KIN
88%
8%
4%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 5
HOB
11%
15%
74%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
CLA
93%
6%
2%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LAU
0 - 5
SOU
6%
10%
85%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SOU
5 - 0
NOR
90%
7%
3%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
DEV
73%
15%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 3
SOU
14%
15%
71%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |