HNK Sibenik vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ZAG
3 - 1
HNS
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
HNS
2 - 3
DZG
18%
21%
60%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
HNS
0 - 2
DZG
19%
22%
59%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
MEI
2 - 2
HNS
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
HNS
1 - 0
HKS
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ZAD
1 - 2
DZG
22%
22%
56%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
HKS
4 - 1
ZAD
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
RIJ
2 - 0
ZAD
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ZAD
2 - 0
NKV
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
SEG
1 - 0
ZAD
25%
22%
54%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |