HNK Sibenik vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
2º
1º
58
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HNS
1 - 3
NKD
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
ZMI
2 - 1
HNS
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
ZAG
2 - 2
HNS
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ČEL
0 - 0
HNS
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
TMS
1 - 1
HNS
14%
19%
67%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 3
VUK
20%
23%
58%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
KOZ
2 - 1
VUK
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VUK
4 - 2
DUB
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
RUD
1 - 2
VUK
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VUK
2 - 0
ORI
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |