HNK Sibenik vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
2º
1º
58
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
NKR
0 - 4
HNS
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HNS
2 - 0
NKJ
74%
18%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NKD
0 - 4
HNS
15%
25%
61%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HNS
2 - 1
SOL
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BIJ
1 - 3
HNS
19%
26%
55%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
VUK
3 - 1
DUB
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
VUK
0 - 1
NKR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NKJ
2 - 2
VUK
26%
27%
48%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VUK
1 - 1
NKD
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 1
VUK
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |