HNK Sibenik vs HNK Orijent Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
2º
1º
33
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
ZMI
0 - 3
HNS
19%
26%
55%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
HNS
1 - 0
HNK
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HNS
2 - 0
NKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DUB
0 - 3
HNS
16%
25%
59%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HNS
2 - 1
ZMI
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 0
VUK
19%
26%
55%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
NKR
2 - 2
ORI
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 1
ZMI
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NKD
1 - 2
ORI
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 0
NKR
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |