HNK Sibenik vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
10º
46
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
IST
0 - 0
HNS
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
JAP
1 - 2
HNS
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 2
SLA
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 1
HNS
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 1
HNG
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NKV
4 - 1
OSI
22%
24%
55%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
PRB
1 - 4
NKV
7%
15%
78%
|
69 | 35 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DZG
3 - 1
NKV
75%
16%
8%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 1
NKV
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
1 - 1
IST
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |