HNK Sibenik vs NK Jarun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
2º
1º
40
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NKD
0 - 4
HNS
15%
25%
61%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HNS
2 - 1
SOL
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BIJ
1 - 3
HNS
19%
26%
55%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
HNS
1 - 0
ORI
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
ZMI
0 - 3
HNS
19%
26%
55%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NKJ
2 - 2
VUK
26%
27%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
NKR
2 - 3
NKJ
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NKJ
0 - 1
DUB
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NKJ
1 - 2
NKD
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 1
NKJ
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |