Liga Croata HNL - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 1-3
HNK Sibenik vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
HNS
2 - 2
ZAG
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
NKV
3 - 1
HNS
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
HNS
2 - 1
KUS
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
HAJ
2 - 0
HNS
48%
27%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HNS
0 - 1
NKD
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2019 |
IST
2 - 0
RUD
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
HKS
4 - 1
IST
79%
15%
6%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
IST
0 - 1
INT
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
HNG
4 - 1
IST
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
IST
0 - 7
RIJ
12%
20%
69%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |