HNK Sibenik vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NKR
4 - 0
HNS
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
HNS
2 - 2
RUD
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SEG
0 - 4
HNS
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HNS
2 - 0
LUK
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
IMO
0 - 1
HNS
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
HDR
0 - 1
NKD
47%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
HDR
1 - 0
NKR
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
RUD
2 - 0
HDR
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
HDR
1 - 0
SEG
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LUK
0 - 0
HDR
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |