HNK Sibenik vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
65.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
10º
81
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NKV
2 - 0
HNS
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
BIJ
0 - 2
HNS
22%
24%
54%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
HNS
0 - 0
IST
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SLA
0 - 1
HNS
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HNS
0 - 4
LOK
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
DZG
1 - 1
OSI
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
DZG
3 - 1
LOK
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DZG
4 - 0
HKS
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 3
DZG
20%
24%
56%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SPL
1 - 3
DZG
5%
15%
81%
|
84 | 34 | 50 | 0 |