HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
8º
7º
33
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
OSI
3 - 0
HNG
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
HNG
0 - 2
RIJ
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 0
HNG
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HNG
1 - 2
LOK
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
HNG
2 - 3
RIJ
30%
26%
45%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NK Slaven Belupo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 1
IST
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
HKS
4 - 0
SLA
72%
18%
11%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SLA
4 - 0
RUD
63%
23%
15%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
NKV
1 - 2
SLA
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
IST
2 - 1
SLA
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |