HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
8º
7º
57
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
HNG
4 - 0
NKK
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RIJ
1 - 0
HNG
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HNG
2 - 1
DZG
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 1
HNG
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 0
HNG
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 1
OSI
6%
13%
81%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OSI
3 - 1
IST
64%
23%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HKS
0 - 2
OSI
51%
24%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OSI
3 - 0
RUD
75%
19%
6%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
1 - 0
OSI
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |