HNK Gorica vs Novigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
NKD
1 - 1
HNG
35%
28%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
HNG
1 - 0
HNS
56%
26%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ZAG
1 - 0
HNG
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
NKR
0 - 0
HNG
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
HNG
1 - 0
KUS
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 0
DZG
10%
20%
70%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 0
LUK
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
HDR
2 - 1
NOV
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
NKV
0 - 0
NOV
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
NKD
2 - 0
NOV
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |