HNK Gorica vs Novigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
25.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
NKR
2 - 1
HNG
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
HNG
1 - 0
IMO
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NKD
4 - 1
HNG
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
HNG
1 - 1
BIJ
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
HNG
2 - 2
LUK
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
ZAG
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NKR
0 - 1
NOV
68%
20%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 0
HNS
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
3 - 1
KUS
43%
24%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
IMO
2 - 2
NOV
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |