HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
10º
9º
22
6º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 64 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 63 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 57 |
4º
|
43.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 49 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 38 |
8º
|
32% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 31 |
10º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
SLA
2 - 1
HNG
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
HNG
1 - 0
HKS
22%
27%
52%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 0
HNG
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
HNS
1 - 0
HNG
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
NKV
1 - 1
HNG
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LOK
3 - 1
DZG
29%
26%
46%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
OSI
3 - 0
LOK
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 2
IST
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
NKD
0 - 1
LOK
5%
14%
81%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
NKV
1 - 1
LOK
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |