HNK Gorica vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
9º
27
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 1
HNG
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
HNG
1 - 1
OSI
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
HDR
0 - 2
HNG
13%
22%
65%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
HNG
3 - 3
LOK
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SLA
2 - 1
HNG
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 1
RIJ
13%
19%
68%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
5 - 0
ZAG
84%
12%
4%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
HNS
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
HNS
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
TSC
2 - 1
HNS
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |