Liga Croata HNL - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 1-5
HNK Gorica vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
HNG
1 - 1
SOL
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
RUD
0 - 2
HNG
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
HNG
5 - 0
NOV
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
NKR
1 - 0
HNG
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
HNG
1 - 0
ZAG
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2017 |
HNK
1 - 1
LOK
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
RIJ
4 - 0
HNK
84%
12%
4%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
HNK
1 - 1
OSI
23%
27%
51%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
IST
1 - 2
HNK
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
HNK
1 - 0
SPL
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |