HNK Cibalia vs Zrinski Osječko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
9º
8º
81
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
HNS
2 - 0
HNK
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HNK
3 - 1
SOL
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VUK
3 - 1
HNK
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HNK
3 - 1
NKJ
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DUB
1 - 1
HNK
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zrinski Osječko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ZRI
1 - 2
ORI
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ZRI
1 - 0
BIJ
49%
26%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
HNS
3 - 0
ZRI
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 0
SOL
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
VUK
1 - 2
ZRI
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |