HNK Cibalia vs Zrinski Osječko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
47.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
9º
8º
81
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
HNS
1 - 0
HNK
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HNK
2 - 1
NKD
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NKR
4 - 0
HNK
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BIJ
2 - 2
HNK
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 0
ORI
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zrinski Osječko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZRI
2 - 0
DUB
65%
22%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 2
DUB
69%
21%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ZMI
0 - 0
ZRI
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 0
NKD
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
NKR
0 - 1
ZRI
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |