HNK Cibalia vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
9º
8º
58
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
NKR
2 - 1
HNK
64%
20%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 1
NKJ
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NKD
1 - 2
HNK
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HNK
4 - 2
SOL
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BIJ
1 - 0
HNK
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
VUK
1 - 2
ZRI
42%
28%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
HNS
2 - 1
VUK
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VUK
3 - 1
DUB
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
VUK
0 - 1
NKR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NKJ
2 - 2
VUK
26%
27%
48%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |