HNK Cibalia vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
7º
3º
63
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RUD
4 - 0
HNK
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HNK
2 - 1
HDR
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
KUS
2 - 2
HNK
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ZMI
0 - 2
HNK
34%
26%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SPL
2 - 0
HNK
10%
19%
71%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VUK
1 - 1
BIJ
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NKJ
2 - 4
VUK
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VUK
1 - 0
DUB
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VUK
4 - 0
ORI
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 0
VUK
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |