UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
HNK Cibalia vs Tampere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2003 |
RIJ
0 - 1
HNK
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
TAM
0 - 2
HNK
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
HNK
4 - 2
SHA
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
SHA
1 - 1
HNK
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
HKS
1 - 0
HNK
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tampere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
FFJ
0 - 0
TAM
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
TAM
0 - 2
HNK
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2003 |
TAM
2 - 0
MYP
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
SUT
0 - 1
TAM
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2003 |
TAM
5 - 0
JOK
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |