UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 5-3
HNK Cibalia vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
SHA
1 - 1
HNK
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
HKS
1 - 0
HNK
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
HNK
3 - 2
DZG
22%
24%
55%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
KIV
2 - 0
HNK
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
HNK
2 - 1
ZAG
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
SHA
1 - 0
NAF
75%
17%
9%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
SHA
1 - 1
HNK
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2003 |
DNM
2 - 2
SHA
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
OMA
1 - 7
SHA
39%
26%
36%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
SHA
1 - 0
OMA
66%
20%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |