HNK Cibalia vs NK Sesvete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
9º
5º
27
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 44 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 44 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 37 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 32 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 31 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 31 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 27 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 26 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 25 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 22 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 21 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ORI
2 - 1
HNK
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 0
VUK
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
NKJ
1 - 2
HNK
52%
23%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 0
BIJ
60%
21%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RUD
1 - 0
HNK
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
NK Sesvete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
NKR
3 - 1
NKD
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 0
NKR
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ZMI
0 - 4
NKR
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
NKR
3 - 3
ORI
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VUK
1 - 0
NKR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |