HNK Cibalia vs NK Jarun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
9º
8º
40
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DUB
1 - 1
HNK
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HNK
1 - 0
ZMI
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
HNK
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
NKJ
2 - 1
HNK
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
HNK
1 - 1
RUD
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
NKJ
4 - 2
ORI
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ZRI
2 - 0
NKJ
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MZL
1 - 3
NKJ
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
NKJ
1 - 2
TRN
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
DUB
5 - 1
NKJ
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |