HNK Cibalia vs NK Dugopolje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
9º
8º
37
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NKR
4 - 0
HNK
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BIJ
2 - 2
HNK
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 0
ORI
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ZRI
2 - 0
HNK
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HNK
6 - 0
DIL
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
NK Dugopolje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NKD
1 - 2
ORI
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 0
NKD
58%
25%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NKD
0 - 0
HNS
19%
26%
55%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 0
NKD
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NKD
1 - 2
VUK
27%
28%
45%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |