Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
HNK Cibalia vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
OSI
1 - 0
HNK
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
IST
1 - 0
HNK
26%
29%
46%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
IST
2 - 3
HNK
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
HNK
2 - 1
LOK
61%
24%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ZAG
0 - 2
HNK
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
IST
2 - 0
HKS
15%
25%
59%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
IST
1 - 0
HNK
26%
29%
46%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
IST
2 - 3
HNK
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SLA
2 - 1
IST
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
IST
1 - 0
KAR
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |