HNK Cibalia vs NK Croatia Zmijavci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
9º
5º
20
4º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 44 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 44 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 37 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 32 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 31 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 31 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 27 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 26 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 25 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 22 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 21 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NKD
1 - 1
HNK
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HNK
5 - 0
ZRI
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NKR
2 - 1
HNK
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 1
ORI
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
VUK
2 - 0
HNK
69%
19%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
NK Croatia Zmijavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZMI
1 - 0
NKJ
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
BIJ
2 - 2
ZMI
34%
25%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 1
ZMI
63%
23%
14%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RUD
2 - 1
ZMI
57%
22%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
NKR
3 - 2
ZMI
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |