UEFA Youth League 1/64
Global 5-3
HJK Helsinki U19 vs Malmö FF U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NPA
0 - 5
HJK
14%
17%
69%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 4
HJK
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HJK
6 - 1
TVK
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 1
HJK
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HJK
0 - 0
VNT
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MAL
5 - 0
VAS
86%
9%
5%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ORE
3 - 1
MAL
22%
20%
58%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 4
HJK
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
MAL
45%
22%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 1
GOT
46%
24%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |