Q. Europa League PlayOffs Final
Global 3-6
HJK Helsinki vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
42.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
HJK
2 - 1
HON
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
JJK
0 - 2
HJK
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
DZG
1 - 0
HJK
65%
20%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
HJK
1 - 0
IFK
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
HJK
1 - 2
DZG
40%
25%
34%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
S04
5 - 1
KOL
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
STU
3 - 0
S04
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
FCT
1 - 11
S04
5%
15%
81%
|
87 | 12 | 75 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
MSV
2 - 1
S04
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
S04
1 - 0
SIG
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |