HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
12º
2º
21
8º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
2 - 0
HAK
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 1
PAN
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 0
HJK
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 0
HJK
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 2
HJK
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
OUL
2 - 0
EKE
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 2
OUL
30%
25%
46%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 2
SEI
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
SEI
2 - 0
OUL
58%
21%
22%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 0
KUO
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |