HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
3º
1º
31
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
HJK
4 - 0
VAA
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VAA
0 - 1
HJK
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 0
HON
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 1
OUL
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 1
KUO
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
HAK
2 - 2
OUL
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
KOO
0 - 2
OUL
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 1
OUL
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 1
INT
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
HAK
2 - 2
OUL
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |