Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-3
HJK Helsinki vs Flamurtari Vlorë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
HJK
0 - 6
DNM
36%
23%
41%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
DNM
4 - 0
HJK
74%
15%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
HJK
0 - 5
SPA
9%
21%
70%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
SPA
2 - 0
HJK
88%
8%
4%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
LIV
5 - 0
HJK
91%
7%
2%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | -1 |