HJK Helsinki vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 1
HJK
16%
23%
62%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
3 - 0
OUL
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
2 - 0
HAK
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 1
PAN
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 0
HJK
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SUT
1 - 1
DEC
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
DEC
0 - 0
DBA
25%
23%
52%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
DBA
0 - 2
DEC
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
DEC
1 - 1
TNS
33%
23%
44%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
TNS
3 - 0
DEC
67%
18%
16%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |