Champions League 1/16
Global 2-16
HJK Helsinki vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
HJK
1 - 2
HER
33%
25%
43%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
HER
4 - 1
HJK
81%
13%
7%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
HJK
0 - 3
ATV
36%
22%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
HJK
4 - 1
VAL
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
VAL
1 - 0
HJK
49%
21%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
AJA
1 - 1
HFC
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 1
AJA
21%
25%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
AJA
2 - 1
GAE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
AJA
2 - 1
NAC
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |