Hittarps vs Jonsered analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
39.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
14º
14º
25
10º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 54 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 52 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 49 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 48 |
4º
|
43.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 44 |
5º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 36 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
64% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 23 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 21 |
13º
|
61% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 15 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hittarps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
HIT
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HIT
2 - 3
SAV
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
HIT
75%
14%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HIT
0 - 1
HFF
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
IKT
3 - 0
HIT
55%
20%
26%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Jonsered
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
JON
2 - 0
LAH
28%
21%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
LIS
5 - 1
JON
59%
20%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
JON
0 - 2
AST
26%
25%
50%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
QVI
3 - 3
JON
64%
17%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BIK
1 - 3
JON
9%
14%
77%
|
27 | 5 | 22 | +1 |