FA Cup 1/256
Global 3-2
Hitchin Town vs Leatherhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BED
2 - 2
HIT
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
HIT
2 - 0
HAS
26%
23%
52%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
STN
0 - 0
HIT
74%
15%
12%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
DID
0 - 0
HIT
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HIT
1 - 1
DID
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leatherhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 0
LEA
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
HAN
0 - 0
LEA
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LEA
1 - 1
HAN
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WOR
1 - 1
LEA
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HAV
0 - 6
LEA
9%
14%
78%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | +1 |