Hitchin Town vs Chesham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HIT
0 - 0
POO
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KET
1 - 1
HIT
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
HIT
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
HIT
1 - 0
WEY
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
KIN
1 - 0
HIT
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 3
KET
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
FRO
1 - 1
CHE
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
POO
3 - 0
CHE
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 0
KIN
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 0
LEA
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +3 |