Hitchin Town vs Bedworth United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HIS
5 - 1
HIT
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
HIT
4 - 2
PET
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PET
1 - 1
HIT
47%
24%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
FRO
0 - 4
HIT
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
HIT
4 - 1
DUN
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bedworth United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BED
2 - 1
SLO
30%
24%
47%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
BED
2 - 0
HOL
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HOL
2 - 2
BED
13%
18%
69%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BED
1 - 2
RED
25%
25%
50%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
LEA
0 - 0
BED
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |