Hitchin Town vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 0
HIT
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BFC
0 - 3
HIT
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
HIT
0 - 2
ROY
23%
23%
54%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAN
3 - 1
HIT
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HIT
2 - 1
NUN
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HED
1 - 1
BAR
48%
23%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
BAR
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
COA
1 - 1
BAR
75%
16%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BAN
3 - 2
BAR
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
PET
3 - 1
BAR
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |