Hitchin Town vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
43.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
HIT
1 - 1
NUN
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
RED
0 - 2
HIT
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
BED
1 - 1
HIT
22%
21%
57%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HIT
1 - 1
BED
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
STI
0 - 3
HIT
28%
25%
48%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
RED
3 - 2
BAR
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 1
ROY
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 3
RED
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
4 - 4
HED
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
BRO
2 - 7
BAR
59%
21%
21%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |