Histon vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALT
5 - 0
HIS
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
HIN
0 - 1
HIS
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HIS
2 - 1
GLO
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BOS
6 - 0
HIS
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HIS
1 - 4
GUI
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 0
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 2
WOR
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
WOR
5 - 1
COR
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 0
BIS
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 2
WOR
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |