Histon vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ALT
3 - 0
HIS
60%
21%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
BOS
1 - 1
HIS
74%
17%
10%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
HIS
2 - 2
BLY
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
KID
2 - 2
HIS
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
HIS
0 - 4
LUT
21%
27%
52%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 1
HAL
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 0
VAU
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
HYD
2 - 1
WOR
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 0
BLY
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
HIN
3 - 1
WOR
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |