Histon vs Truro City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
57%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAN
4 - 0
HIS
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
HIS
1 - 1
CIR
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
HIS
1 - 2
COR
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
PAU
0 - 3
HIS
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
HIS
1 - 1
RED
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
WHI
3 - 1
ARL
80%
14%
7%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
WHI
2 - 1
COR
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
WHI
2 - 0
WEY
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
RED
0 - 4
WHI
40%
24%
35%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
WHI
0 - 0
DUN
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |