Histon vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
HIS
0 - 0
GRA
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
GAT
0 - 3
HIS
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
HIS
1 - 0
GUL
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
GUL
2 - 0
HIS
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
3 - 3
HIS
39%
25%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
KET
1 - 1
OXF
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
OXF
2 - 1
YOR
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
OXF
1 - 2
NOR
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
BUR
0 - 1
OXF
48%
25%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
WOK
0 - 2
OXF
24%
28%
49%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |