Histon vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
52.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 1
HIS
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
HIS
0 - 4
AFC
13%
20%
67%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
HIS
0 - 1
DAR
19%
26%
55%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
GAT
2 - 0
HIS
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
HIS
0 - 2
RUS
23%
25%
53%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
LUT
3 - 0
EAS
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
YOR
1 - 0
LUT
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
LUT
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
LUT
63%
21%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LUT
6 - 0
SOU
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |